The Prime Minister Narender Modi is at the helm of affairs for the last four years now after winning clear majority for his party BJP in 2014.
The2014 mandate was for change and People believed that Modiji could usher good days by curbing corruption and ensure good governance and development.to benefit the people at large.
Let us examine the actual profile of rising India in last four years.
The ambitious programmes like Digital India ,Make in India ,Skill India ,start up India ,stand up India , have been started with a hope to leverage the power of technology to benefit the lives of ordinary Indians.
But in reality except Digital India becoming a mass movement to a great extent (2.9lakh service centers up from 83000in 2014 spread over 2 lakh gram Panchayats offering several services ranging from insurance to ,land records etc) all other programmes have been a mere slogans with nobody hearing much about any change wrought in to benefit any section of population whatsoever.
The other good talking programmes are Swatch Bharat , Construction of 7.5 crore toilets across the country, 3.5 crores Ujjwala LPG gas connections and globally recognized JAM trinity ( 31 crore Jan Dhan Bank accounts ,121 crore mobile phones and 120 crore Aadhar IDs).
Although JAM trinity were started already by UPA government but NDA government is being credited with having accelerated these to transfer welfare benefits speedily and directly to the accounts of the poor.
On international level we are at loggerheads with both our arch enemies and distractors Pakistan and China.
Pakistan is stubborn to live upon permanent enemosity and China no better ,making deeper inroads into Doklama .
Although the informal summits with both Chinese President and the Russian newly President have eased the personal diplomacy but nothing beyond that.
Both are playing their cards cautiously.
Although Prime Minister Modi was given civilian accolades in Afghanistan Syria ,Saudi Arabia, but the fact remains that nothing substantial has changed in the erstwhile policies of these nations towards India other than a goodwill gestures with lot of hugs and smiles.
Prime Minister Narender Modi is in Singapore today (29/5/18) for ensuring greater engagement with the region by participating in the Shangri La dialogue. Let us hope something concrete happens to talk about.
In four years the popularity of Prime Minister Modi has one down considerably.
The promise of a new India free from the shackles of corruption nepotism ,empowerment of men and women with dignified living standard were in reality thrown to winds and replaced with mob lynching in name of cow protection, communal tensions and victimization of Dalits .
On economic growth Modi government failed to go beyond 6.7% due to mismanagement of its economic policies .
For instance Demonetisation was bad idea and badly implemented.
The good economic reform GST being a good step was badly implemented.
In nutshell due to these badly implemented reforms there was reduction of about 2% in GDP.
The unemployment has not been addressed to and now the price rise of petrol and diesel has taken shine off its rocking mood being in office for four years.
The comparative chart should show the painful scenario.
Price in 2014 Price in 2018
Petrol INR 60 INR 80
Diesel INR 45 INR 72
LPG INR400 INR 800
The oil predicament has alerted the Government to search for a solid lasting solution. Any band –aid trick won’t do .
Any reduction in excise duty would hit government’s huge excise collections of 2,79,005 crores and would directly affect the fiscal; but the million dollar question remains how long would the government resist the pressure with less than a year to go to the hustings for the general elections.
Prime Minister Narender Modi has sidelined both development and governance and lost control over his extreme elements in the party who became more voiceferous in taking center stage to proclaim the divisive politics and thus damaged Modi’s otherwise a clean image to great extent.
The duo PM Modiji and President BJP Amit shah has made winning elections ( State Assembly ,Parliament ,or Panchayat ,) the main plank of governance and all efforts are being directed towards achieving this goal by whatever means right or wrong.
Let us try to understand the actual position of BJP in 29 state assemblies .
A.STATES WITH NO BJP SEATS
1/ Sikkim BJP Zero
2/Mizoram BJP Zero
3/Tamil Nadu BJP Zero
B . STATES BJP PART OF GOVT.
1/ Meghalaya BJP 02 seats out of 60
2/ Nagaland BJP 12 seats out of 60
3/ J&K BJP 25 seats out of 87
4/ Bihar BJP 53 seats out of 243
C . STATES WHERE BJP IS NOT PART OF GOVT.
1/ Andhra BJP 04 seats out of 175
2/ Kerala BJP 01 seat out of 140
3/ Punjab BJP 03 seats out of 117.
4/ West Bengal BJP 03 seats out of 294
5/ Telengana BJP 05 seats out of 119
6/ Delhi BJP 03 seats out of 70
7/ Orissa BJP 10 seats out of 147.
D. BJP IS IN CLEAR MAJORITY IN 10 STATES ONLY
OUT OF 29 STATES.
1/ Uttar Pradesh BJP 312 seats out of 403
2/ Haryana BJP 47 seats out of 90
3/ Madhya Pradesh BJP 165 seats out of 230
4/ Chhattisgarh BJP 49 seats out of /90
5/ Rajasthan BJP 163 seats out of 200
6/ Gujrat BJP 99seats out of 182
7/ Uttarakhand BJP 56 seats out of 70
8/ Himachal Pradesh BJP 44 seats out of 68
9/ Tripura BJP 35seats out of 60
10/ Aruna Chal Pradesh BJP 48seats out of 60
( in Arunachal Pradesh BJP engineered defections to emerge as majority party.)
E. THE STATES BJP LARGEST PARTY
1/ Assam BJP 60 seats out of 126.
2/ Maharashtra BJP 122 seats out of 288
From the above statistics it is clear that BJP has full dominance in Northern belt with significant inroads made into North East states ,but far from making any significant dent on the voters in the southern India.
Conclusions;
The Prime Minister Narender Modi has still huge chances to come back for second term in 2019 provided he shackles off his cloak of divisive politics and stands for inclusive India irrespective of difference in religion caste creed language and work with dedication in the interest of the country. Also PM Modi should come over heavily upon his fringe elements and detractors so that a wave of trust in his leadership for equitable justice to all sections of the society is established .
Good critical analysis!
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ThanksABHAYJI for your great comment.
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🙏
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WELCOME ALWAYS
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Very informative article with lots of fact ‘re emphasized.
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very truly commented
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Very good analysis of programmes and processes made during the last four years of bjp rule at centre and failure of implementation of most of the programmes in full thereof. Also it is a fact that steps should be taken to improve the developmental programmes and their implementation at grass root level and also to controle the price rise so that the common man is benefited.
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Thanks .Ihave tried to give dispassionate analysis to point out arrogance of govt and conclude that he neds to shun the divisive politics to survive for second term.
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Very nice analysis & informative article.
God bless n awaiting for more blogs.
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Thanks Ashokji after a longtime
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A very well written detailed analysis of Modi years with critical one . conclusions are aptly made .Modi needs to mend his ways otherwise he would lose election in 2019.
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Thanks for the comments. Always welcome
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Modi jee has become an icon
for many people…..but after 4 years the sheen & shine has started fading …..the write up is pointing towards that development……There is no comprehensive VIKAS of all denominations.
……India has not emerged as a country in south Asia with a ROLE in SARC.
CHINA has enticed all the countries on S.A. into the OBOR….excepting BHUTAN
…Good analytical write up ?
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Thanks for your detailed comment. tried to objectively assess Modii’s four years.
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A very good analysis. Modiji has lost his popularity very much due to rhetorics and not a le to deliver promises. He needs to take positive steps to ameliorate the problems of lower strata of society to stay remain relevant .
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very true sir.
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