The Prime Minister Narender Modi is at the helm of affairs for the last four years now after winning clear majority for his party BJP in 2014.

The2014 mandate was for change and People believed that Modiji could usher good days by curbing corruption and ensure good governance and development.to benefit the people at large.

Let us examine the actual profile of rising India in last four years.

The ambitious programmes like Digital India ,Make in India ,Skill India ,start up India ,stand up India , have been started with a hope to leverage the power of technology to benefit the lives of ordinary Indians.

 But in reality except Digital India becoming a mass movement to a great extent (2.9lakh service centers up from 83000in 2014 spread over 2 lakh gram Panchayats offering several services ranging from insurance to ,land records etc) all other programmes have been a mere slogans with nobody hearing much about any change wrought in to benefit any section of population whatsoever.

The other good talking programmes are Swatch Bharat , Construction of 7.5 crore toilets across the country, 3.5 crores Ujjwala LPG gas connections and globally recognized JAM trinity ( 31 crore Jan Dhan Bank accounts ,121 crore mobile phones and 120 crore Aadhar IDs).

Although JAM trinity were started already by UPA government but NDA government is being credited with having accelerated these to transfer welfare benefits speedily and directly to the accounts of the poor.

On international level we are at loggerheads with both our arch enemies and distractors Pakistan and China.

Pakistan is stubborn to live upon permanent enemosity and China no better ,making deeper inroads into Doklama .

Although the informal summits with both Chinese President and the Russian newly President have eased the personal diplomacy but nothing beyond that.

Both are playing their cards cautiously.

Although Prime Minister Modi was given civilian accolades in Afghanistan Syria ,Saudi Arabia, but the fact remains that nothing substantial has changed in the erstwhile  policies of these nations towards India other than a goodwill gestures with lot of hugs and smiles.

Prime Minister Narender Modi is in Singapore today (29/5/18) for ensuring greater engagement with the region by participating in the Shangri La dialogue. Let us hope something concrete happens to talk about.

 

In four years the popularity of Prime Minister Modi has one down considerably.

The promise of a new India free from the shackles of corruption nepotism ,empowerment of men and women with dignified living standard were in reality thrown to winds and replaced with mob lynching in name of cow protection, communal tensions and victimization of Dalits .

On economic growth Modi government failed to go beyond 6.7% due to mismanagement of its economic policies .

For instance Demonetisation was bad idea and badly implemented.

The good economic reform GST being a good step was badly implemented.

In nutshell due to these badly implemented reforms there was reduction of about 2% in GDP.

The unemployment has not been addressed to and now the price rise of petrol and diesel has taken shine off its rocking mood being in office for four years.

The comparative chart should show the painful scenario.

 

Price in 2014                      Price in 2018

 

Petrol       INR 60                   INR     80

 

Diesel       INR 45                   INR     72

 

LPG         INR400                 INR     800

 

The oil predicament has alerted the Government to search for a solid lasting solution. Any band –aid trick won’t do .

Any reduction in excise duty would hit government’s huge excise collections of 2,79,005 crores and would directly affect the fiscal; but the million dollar question remains how long would the government resist the pressure with less than a year to go to the hustings for the general elections.

Prime Minister Narender Modi has sidelined both development and governance and lost control over his extreme elements in the party who became more voiceferous in taking center stage to proclaim the divisive politics and thus damaged Modi’s otherwise a clean image to great extent.

The duo PM Modiji and President BJP Amit shah has made winning elections ( State Assembly ,Parliament ,or Panchayat ,) the main plank of governance and all efforts are being directed towards achieving this goal by whatever means right or wrong.

Let us try to understand the actual position of BJP in 29 state assemblies .

     A.STATES WITH NO BJP SEATS

1/ Sikkim                   BJP               Zero

 

2/Mizoram                BJP             Zero

 

3/Tamil Nadu         BJP               Zero

 

 B .   STATES BJP PART OF GOVT.

 

1/     Meghalaya         BJP               02 seats out of 60

 

2/   Nagaland         BJP               12 seats out of 60

 

3/   J&K                     BJP               25 seats out of 87

 

4/   Bihar                   BJP               53 seats out of 243

 

 

C .   STATES WHERE BJP IS NOT PART OF GOVT.

 

1/   Andhra         BJP                 04 seats out of 175

 

2/   Kerala             BJP                 01 seat out of 140

 

3/ Punjab           BJP                 03 seats out of 117.

 

4/ West Bengal   BJP             03 seats out of 294

 

5/ Telengana     BJP               05 seats out of 119

 

6/ Delhi             BJP                   03 seats out of 70

 

7/   Orissa         BJP                   10 seats out of 147.

 D.   BJP IS IN CLEAR MAJORITY IN 10 STATES ONLY

             OUT OF 29 STATES.

 

     1/ Uttar Pradesh     BJP       312 seats out of 403

 

     2/ Haryana               BJP       47 seats out of 90

 

3/ Madhya Pradesh   BJP       165 seats out of 230

 

4/   Chhattisgarh         BJP       49 seats out of /90

5/   Rajasthan           BJP         163 seats out of 200

6/   Gujrat                   BJP       99seats out of 182

7/   Uttarakhand           BJP       56 seats out of 70

8/ Himachal Pradesh   BJP       44 seats out of 68

 

9/ Tripura                     BJP     35seats out of 60

10/ Aruna Chal Pradesh BJP     48seats out of 60

( in Arunachal Pradesh BJP engineered defections to emerge as majority party.)

 

 

E. THE STATES BJP LARGEST PARTY

1/ Assam               BJP     60 seats out of 126.

2/ Maharashtra       BJP     122 seats out of 288

 

From the above statistics it is clear that BJP has full dominance in Northern belt with significant inroads made into North East states ,but far from making any significant dent on the voters in the southern India.

 

Conclusions;

The Prime Minister Narender Modi has still huge chances to come back for second term in 2019 provided he shackles off his cloak of divisive politics and stands for inclusive India irrespective of difference in religion caste creed language and work with dedication in the interest of the country. Also PM Modi should come over heavily upon his fringe elements and detractors so that a wave of trust in his leadership for equitable justice to all sections of the society is established .